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Opt-out Is No Panacea

by: Cordelia Lear

Mon Oct 26, 2009 at 20:49:46 PM EDT


Senator Harry Reid's announcement today came as good news to those following the health care reform debate in Congress. The inclusion of a "public option" is certainly a move in the right direction and very welcome. But, we're still a long way from a robust public option. The "opt-out" choice available to individual states leaves us with some very big questions and ups the ante significantly on the 2010 election.

To use a cliché, "the devil will be in the details." The Majority Leader has yet to unveil the specifics on how the opt-out would work. Unfortunately it would involve governors and state legislatures. Depending on how the legislation is written it will take one, or a combination of those to opt-out. Do you want the future of your health care in the hands of "the answer to everything is a tax cut" Senate Majority Leader Mike Bishop? Or, do you want it in the hands of House Speaker Andy Dillon whose health care reform plan is a thinly veiled attempt at union busting? The answer is no. Don't forget both have said they want to run for governor in 2010.

(As blue_onyx pointed out in the comments, Bishop has indicated he'll run for AG, not Gov. But in all honesty, would you expect any different from Mike Cox, our current AG, who does little to defend consumers?)

Should you support opt-out? No. Let's thank Harry Reid for starting to turn his ship around, but let's also make sure he doesn't abandon the wheel now.

For some perspective about how opt-out could potentially affect states with current governors and legislature if a vote were to come today, Jon Walker at Fire Dog Lake has an excellent analysis. He presents several scenarios of what states would require only a governor's decree, legislature only approval and both governor and state legislature approval in what are currently Republican controlled states. He concludes:


A combined total of 154 million people (51% of the population) live in states where Republicans control the governor's mansion or the state legislature.

If people think my numbers are too "worst case scenario," remember: there will be four years and two election cycles before the public option is made available. Currently the Republican Party is very close to a historic low and is expect to improve over the next few elections. Republicans (and/or Democrats opposed to the public option) only need be in power briefly at sometime in the next four years to be able to opt out their state. If you don't think the next four years will see a multi-million dollar surge in donations from health insurance companies to politicians at the state level, you don't understand politics.

Hold firm on a robust public option. We've come a long way, but it's no time to stop. This is only the first leg of a 4 X 400 relay.

Cordelia Lear :: Opt-out Is No Panacea
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I'd like to see... (4.00 / 6)
the repugs try to opt-out.  It would create a shit-storm like you can't even imagine.

A voice in my head tells me not to be so mean to the conservatives.  I work very hard to ignore that voice.

I can imagine the worst possible shit storm (4.00 / 4)
Believe me. I can imagine the worst possible shit storm. But, yes there will be republicans who will want to opt-out.

There are plenty of mean aging white men -- especially in the south -- who are so out of touch that they will largely because they can.

There should have been a shit storm after the legislature cut hundreds of dollars from the K-12 budget. Where is it?

Never underestimate the lies from the republicans and the lack of basic understanding of politics by the average voter.

Disobedience, in the eyes of anyone who has read history, is man's original virtue. It is through disobedience and rebellion that progress has been made. --- Oscar Wilde, The Soul of Man Under Socialism


[ Parent ]
Count me on on the shit storm (4.00 / 4)


[ Parent ]
A shit storm there will be... (4.00 / 3)
but the big question will be whether or not democrats will be able to turn this into an advantage. I'm not holding my breath.

I prefer we not have to deal with the issue. If we assert enough pressure now to get rid of "opt-out" we won't have to worry.

Disobedience, in the eyes of anyone who has read history, is man's original virtue. It is through disobedience and rebellion that progress has been made. --- Oscar Wilde, The Soul of Man Under Socialism


[ Parent ]
Already introduced (4.00 / 2)
House Joint Resolution CC (Affirm right to independent (non-government) health care )

Introduced by Rep. Brian Calley (R) on September 9, 2009, to place before voters in the next general election a Constitutional amendment to recognize that "every person has a right to provide for his or her own health care," and to prohibit any state law or rule that would directly or indirectly "compel any person, employer, or health care provider to participate in any health care system".

Senate Joint Resolution K (Affirm right to independent (non-government) health care )

Introduced by Sen. Wayne Kuipers (R) on August 27, 2009, to place before voters in the next general election a Constitutional amendment to recognize that "every person has a right to provide for his or her own health care," and to prohibit any state law or rule that would directly or indirectly "compel any person, employer, or health care provider to participate in any health care system".

From Michigan Votes

Between that and all the tenther bullshit that has been introduced, I'm pretty sure that Republicans in Michigan would choose to secede from the union if they could.


I don't like the opt-out (4.00 / 3)
A single payer system is the ideal health care reform for progressives.  So the public option is the compromise and now we're giving in even more.  Too many people who played a role in voting Obama and the Democrats into office could get stuck with mandated health care but no public option.  Not acceptable.  

I say just push a strong public option.  I hate the assumption that 60 votes are needed. Nobody is really threatening to filibuster....the Dems, knowing the GOP could filibuster, assume they need 60 votes.  If anyone does filibuster, the Dems have 60 votes.  Let the conservative Dems vote for cloture but against the reform.  In order to pass good health care reform, the Dems need 50 votes with Biden breaking the tie.  

"Don't forget both have said they want to run for governor in 2010."  

Isn't Bishop running for Attorney General, not Governor?  


Me bad (4.00 / 2)
you're right. Must have been too late last night.

One would think that the scenario you laid out would be a no brainer. If there was someone who wouldn't play on cloture, I'd say take away their committee chairmanship. That would get them moving. But, for whatever reason (like the need for a spine) Reid isn't playing that way.

Disobedience, in the eyes of anyone who has read history, is man's original virtue. It is through disobedience and rebellion that progress has been made. --- Oscar Wilde, The Soul of Man Under Socialism


[ Parent ]


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